Class 3: Human needs and wellbeing
Fanning, A.L., O’Neill, D.W., Hickel, J., Roux, N. 2021. The social shortfall and ecological overshoot of nations. Nature Sustainability, https: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-021-00799-z
At the global scale, we find that billions of people currently live in countries that do not achieve most of the social thresholds in our analysis, and yet humanity is collectively overshooting six of the seven global biophysical boundaries.
We find that humanity is closer to reaching the social thresholds than it was in the early The 1990s (with the notable exceptions of equality and democratic quality), but notable shortfalls remain. At the same time, global resource use has overshot two additional boundaries (material footprint and blue water) and extended substantially further beyond the ecological ceiling over the 1992–2015 period, especially concerning material footprint and CO2 emissions.
The average country has achieved one additional social threshold at the cost of transgressing one more biophysical boundary over the 1992–2015 period.
Taken together, these historical results show poor progress from the perspective of the doughnut’s safe and just space, especially given that the achievement of social thresholds cannot be substituted for the transgression of biophysical boundaries in this framework.
Moreover, countries tend to transgress most (or all) of the biophysical boundaries before achieving a substantial number of social thresholds:
If current trends continue, more than 100 countries (out of 147) will overshoot their share of the cumulative CO2 emissions boundary by 2050, which is more than twice the number of countries in climate overshoot compared with the early 1990s.
For the social indicators, the business-as-usual projections suggest that the number of social thresholds achieved by at least 50% of countries would probably increase from 4 out of 11 in 2015 to 7 out of 11 by 2050, judging from historical trends (Fig. 4b). However, we find that less than one-third of countries would be likely to achieve the remaining four social thresholds (life satisfaction, social support, democratic quality, and equality).
The projections may still be optimistic as they are based on within-country historical trends, which do not consider the potential social disruption from the negative impacts of ecological overshoot.
Despite decades of sustainable development rhetoric, countries with high levels of social achievement have levels of resource use far beyond anything that could be sustainably extended to all people, and their extent of ecological overshoot has generally been increasing. Although low-income countries have shown progress in reducing social shortfalls, they have generally been transgressing biophysical boundaries faster than they have been achieving social thresholds.
For wealthy countries with high ecological overshoot, resource use needs to be dramatically reduced to get within fair shares of biophysical boundaries—a transition that is unlikely to be accomplished with efficiency improvements alone. It may also require post-growth and Degrowth policies that redesign current growth-dependent economic systems and reduce the overconsumption of resources directly. Simulation models have shown that wealthy countries can improve social outcomes without growth by reducing inequality and prioritizing social provisioning.
For countries with high social shortfalls, a focus on meeting basic needs is required, with an emphasis on capacity-building and sovereign economic development. Nutrition, sanitation, and income poverty deserve priority.
A small shift in the flow of global income from rich to poor, such as ensuring fairer wages and prices for producers, could alleviate extreme poverty without the need for additional global growth.
What are the key findings of Fanning et al?
What reasons could you imagine why countries are either doing relatively well in social or ecological terms, but not in both?
Feel free to explore more here: https://goodlife.leeds.ac.uk/
Gough, I. 2015. Climate change and sustainable welfare: the centrality of human needs. Cambridge Journal of Economics 2015, 39, 1191–1214. https://doi:10.1093/cje/bev039
Abstract:
A theory of human need
- basic health and autonomy: . Thus whatever a person’s goals, whatever the cultural practices and values within which she lives, she will require certain prerequisites to strive towards those goals. In this way we identify physical survival/health and personal autonomy as the most basic human needs. We define basic autonomy as the ability to make competent informed choices about what should be done and how to go about doing it.
- biological constraints: There are numerous examples where choices of reasons and actions may challenge genetic predispositions, even if the latter can be objectively established. For this reason we reject what is probably still the most famous analysis of human needs: that of Abraham Maslow (1970). This is a theory of motivations or drivers of human action, whereas ours is a theory of universalisable goals. One result is that the pursuit of universal human needs will not necessarily be internally motivated; one may desire things harmful to need satisfaction and not desire essential need satisfiers. Most need theories ‘lack a behavioral motor behind them’, in Gasper’s words (2007, p 66). There will be many times when motives, and the preferences they support, will drive the meeting of basic needs, but that cannot be assumed.
- differences between needs and wants: needs are objective, whereas preferences are subjective. The truth of the claim that a person needs clean water depends on the objective physiological requirements of human beings and the nature of the satisfier, including its capacity to contribute to the health of the person. It is quite possible to need something that you do not want; indeed you may need it without even knowing of its existence.
Climate change and human needs: further theoretical issues
The needs of future generations
Societal preconditions for sustainable well-being
Climate change and ethical arguments for respecting universal need satisfaction
- Shue’s (1993) argument that people should have inalienable rights to subsistence emissions: the minimum emissions necessary to their survival or to some minimal quality of life.
- Caney (2012) The fundamental point is that poor people want energy, not emissions, and the link between the two depends on technical and institutional factors. They are ‘substitutable in a narrow sense’: it is perfectly possible to achieve improving energy with falling emissions, by shifting to renewable energy, reducing deforestation, changing agricultural practices, increasing energy efficiency, shifting consumption patterns, and so on.
- Wolf (2009) ‘meeting people’s basic needs should be the first priority of justice’.
Conclusion
- First, because human needs are conceived to be universal to all peoples, a sound theory of need permits inter-personal comparisons of well-being, including comparisons between radically different cultures and time periods. It is informationally more rewarding than alternative conceptions, encompassing both individual and population-level evaluations of well-being. It provides a more secure theoretical foundation for the numerous current empirical efforts to devise non-monetary indicators of well-being, pursued by numerous organisations including the OECD, EU and UN (Brainpool, 2014).
- Second, it provides a critique of ‘unexamined sentiments’ and an advocacy of reflective and public reasoning. This it shares with the capabilities approach (see Appendix below), but it has the advantage that human needs are more ‘vividly intuitive’. The idea of common human needs challenges current obeisance to unregulated markets as allocative mechanisms (and indeed simple majoritarian decision making). Needs provide a route to questioning the idea of ‘consumer sovereignty’ and the justice and sustainability of current social structures.
- Third, it supports strong moral obligations and claims to meet basic needs and provides a secure foundation for universal human rights. It thus lends powerful support for those pressing for the pursuit of both social and inter-generational justice: the twin and linked global challenges we face today. Global warming now poses an overwhelming threat to human well-being present and future. This imposes additional and urgent ethical demands for just and sustainable global welfare.
What is the difference between human needs and needs satisfiers?
Do you agree that Gough’s theory of human needs provides a sounder basis for effective climate action than the standard economic approach to wellbeing? Why? Why not?
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